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October 18, 2010

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I see very little mental overlap between people who grew up in relational databases and those who are deep into the new technologies. People who truly see the value in both sides are pretty special individuals, and their companies will have a huge competitive advantage after 5 years or so, when the heel-draggers realize they have a lot of catching up to do and that you don't just figure out how to use these new technologies overnight. At the same time, the ones on the bleeding edge are going to throw off a lot of energy plowing through technologies that nobody realizes are headed for the scrap heap.

On the specific technologies you listed, two things come to mind. MongoDB isn't Big Data yet, and can't be until it gets better at handling data corruption. At large scale, crashes and other problems are guaranteed, and it's too expensive to deal with unless the technology recovers automatically. Hadoop is the other thing -- I think it is seeing remarkable adoption for where it is in its lifecycle, and more maturity will bring a rich set of tools and technologies to support it. When that happens, it'll be unstoppable.

But see my earlier note: I could be wrong about all of this.

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